Ohtsuka Yoshihiro

Affiliation and department：

Research field (2)： Economic policy , Economic statistics

Research keywords (2)： Spatio-temporal econometrics , 景気循環分析

Research theme for competitive and other funds (4)：

2020 - 2023 景気基準日付の再検証と景気水準を捉える新たな統計モデルの開発
2017 - 2021 Spatial crowding-out and crowding-in effects of government spending on the private sector
2017 - 2020 Empirical analysis on modeling business index and business forecast corresponding to tail-risk
2016 - 2017 Development of method of spatial factor analysis of income differentials and its visualization(Fostering Joint International Research)

Papers (14)：

Funashima Yoshito, Nobuo Iizuka, Yoshihiro Ohtsuka. GDP Announcement and Stock Price. Journal of Economics and Business. 2020. 108
大塚芳宏. ビジネス・サーベイ・インデックスと企業の景況感の推定. 東北学院大学経済学論集. 2019. 192. 1-24
Yoshito Funashima, Yoshihiro Ohtsuka. Spatial Crowding-out and Crowding-in Effects of Government Spending on the Private Sector in Japan. Regional Science and Urban Economics. 2019. 75. 35-48
Yoshihiro Ohtsuka, Kazuhiko Kakamu. Regional Growth and Business Cycles in Japan. Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies. 2018. 30. 1-25
Yoshihiro Ohtsuka. Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments. Journal of Business Cycle Research. 2018. 14. 143-178

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MISC (13)：

令和インフレの特徴 -品目別データによる分析-. 東京財団政策研究所 Review. 2023
大塚芳宏. 新たな景気動向指数の特徴と提案. 東京財団政策研究所 Review. 2022
大塚芳宏. コロナ禍の景気分析. 東京財団政策研究所 Review. 2022
飯塚信夫, 小巻泰之, 大塚芳宏, 平田英明, 山澤成康, 浦沢聡士. 一筋縄ではいかない、建設工事受注動態統計とGDPの関係. 東京財団政策研究所 Review. 2022
大塚芳宏. 景気の現状と転換点の検証. 東京財団政策研究所政策データウォッチ (36). 2020

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Lectures and oral presentations (15)：

統計モデルによる景気分析
(景気循環学会(中原記念奨励賞受賞講演) 2023)
地域別景況感におけるコロナ禍の影響と波及効果の推定
(統計関連学会連合大会 2022)
An empirical study about recession and the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan
(The 6th Eastern Asia Chapter of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis 2022)
日銀短観を用いた景況感と変動リスクの推定
(統計関連学会連合大会 2019)
Efficient Bayesian Estimation for the Space-time Stationary Condition with Blocked Sampling Approach
(3rd International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics 2019)

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Education (3)：

2009 - 2012 Hitotsubashi University
2004 - 2006 千葉大学大学院社会科学研究科修士課程
2000 - 2004 Chiba University Faculty of Law and Economics Department of Economics

Professional career (1)：

Work history (6)：

2020/04 - 現在 Tohoku Gakuin University Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics
2017/04 - 現在 Tohoku Bunka Gakuen University Faculty of Policy Management
2021/10 - 2024/03 The Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research Senior Fellow
2016/04 - 2020/03 Tohoku Gakuin University Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics
2013/04 - 2016/03 University of Nagasaki Faculty of Economics, Department of Economics

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Awards (1)：

Association Membership(s) (3)：

APPLIED REGIONAL SCIENCE CONFERENCE , THE JAPAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY , JAPANESE ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION

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