Art

J-GLOBAL ID：201002223306704216   Reference number：10A0770496

Projection of future typhoons landing on Japan based on a stochastic typhoon model utilizing AGCM projections

大気大循環モデルによる予測法を用いた確率台風モデルに基づく日本への将来の台風上陸予測

Author (3)： YASUDA Tomohiro (Disaster Prevention Res. Inst., Kyoto Univ.) ,  MASE Hajime (Disaster Prevention Res. Inst., Kyoto Univ.) ,  MORI Nobuhito (Disaster Prevention Res. Inst., Kyoto Univ.)
Material： Hydrological Research Letters (Web)  (Hydrol Res Lett (Web))
Volume： 4  Page： 65-69 (J-STAGE)  Publication year： 2010 
JST Material Number： U0049A  ISSN： 1882-3416  Document type： Article
Article type： 原著論文  Country of issue： Japan (JPN)  Language： ENGLISH (EN)

Thesaurus term： computation model ,  *general circulation model ,  climatic variation ,  scenario ,  simulation ,  action and behavior ,  typhoon ,  *stochastic typhoon model ,  *climate change scenarios ,  *Monte Carlo simulation ,  CFD model
Semi thesaurus term： computational fluid dynamics model ,  *台風上陸 ,  landing ,  *強い台風

JST classification (4)： Large-scale disturbance,typhoon,gravity wave of the atmosphere  (DC05070R) ,  General circulation of the atmosphere,tropical meteorology  (DC05060G) ,  Climatology,climatic change  (DC05140T) ,  Weather forecasting  (DC05020O)

Reference (18)：

• Emanuel K. 2001. Contribution of tropical cyclones to the oceans’ meridional heat transport. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(D14): 14771–14782. doi:10.1029/2000JD900641.
• Hashimoto N, Kawai H, Matsuura K, Kawaguchi K. 2004. Development of stochastic typhoon model for performance design of coastal design. Proceeding of the 29th International Conference on Coastal Engineering 4: 3615–3627.
• Hatada Y, Yamaguchi M. 1996. A stochastic typhoon model and its application to the estimation of extremes of storm surge and wave height. Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2: 1389–1402.
• IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 996 pp.
• KAKUSHIN. 2007. Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21^st Century, Japan. http://www.jamstec.go.jp/kakushin21/eng/. [May 24, 2010]

Terms in the title (7)： 大気大循環モデル ,  予測法 ,  確率台風モデル ,  日本 ,  台風 ,  上陸 ,  予測