Art

J-GLOBAL ID：201202266166886268   Reference number：12A1050701

Predictability of a Stepwise Shift in Pacific Climate during the Late 1990s in Hindcast Experiments Using MIROC

MICROCを用いた事後予報実験での1990年代後半の太平洋の気候の段階的な変化の予報可能性

Author (17)： CHIKAMOTO Yoshimitsu (Atmosphere and Ocean Res. Inst., The Univ. of Tokyo) ,  KIMOTO Masahide (Atmosphere and Ocean Res. Inst., The Univ. of Tokyo) ,  ISHII Masayoshi (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  ISHII Masayoshi (Meteorological Res. Inst.) ,  WATANABE Masahiro (Atmosphere and Ocean Res. Inst., The Univ. of Tokyo) ,  NOZAWA Toru (National Inst. for Environmental Studies) ,  MOCHIZUKI Takashi (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  TATEBE Hiroaki (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  SAKAMOTO Takashi T. (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  KOMURO Yoshiki (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  SHIOGAMA Hideo (National Inst. for Environmental Studies) ,  MORI Masato (Atmosphere and Ocean Res. Inst., The Univ. of Tokyo) ,  YASUNAKA Sayaka (Atmosphere and Ocean Res. Inst., The Univ. of Tokyo) ,  IMADA Yukiko (Atmosphere and Ocean Res. Inst., The Univ. of Tokyo) ,  KOYAMA Hiroshi (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  NOZU Masato (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Sci. and Technol.) ,  JIN Fei-fei (Dep. of Meteorology, Univ. of Hawaii)
Material： Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan  (気象集誌)
Volume： 90A  Page： 1-21 (J-STAGE)  Publication year： 2012 
JST Material Number： G0095A  ISSN： 0026-1165  CODEN： JMSJA  Document type： Article
Article type： 原著論文  Country of issue： Japan (JPN)  Language： ENGLISH (EN)

Thesaurus term： *climatic variation ,  *numerical prediction ,  *West Pacific Ocean ,  Indian Ocean ,  Atlantic Ocean ,  *sea surface temperature ,  *Global Warming

JST classification (2)： Climatology,climatic change  (DC05140T) ,  Physical properties of sea water  (DC06020V)

Reference (52)：

• 1) Adler, R. F., G. Huffman, A. Chang, R. Ferraro, P. Xie, J. Janowiak, B. Rudolf, U. Schneider, S. Curtis, D. Bolvin, A. Gruber, J. Susskind, and P. Arkin, 2003: The version 2 global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979-present). J. Hydrometeor., 4, 1147-1167.
• 2) Berrisford, P., D. Dee, K. Fielding, M. Fuentes, P. Kallberg, S. Kobayashi, and S. Uppala, 2009: The ERA-Interim Archive. ERA report series, 1, 1-16.
• 3) Bloom, S. C., L. Takacs, A. M. da Silva, and D. Ledvina, 1996: Data assimilation using incremental analysis updates. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 1256-1271.
• 4) Chikamoto, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, and S.-P. Xie, 2011: Multi-year predictability of the tropical climate under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., to be submitted.
• 5) Cox, P., and D. Stephenson, 2007: A changing climate for prediction. Science, 317, 207-208, doi:10.1126/science.1145956.

Terms in the title (6)： 事後予報 ,  実験 ,  太平洋 ,  気候 ,  段階 ,  予報可能性