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J-GLOBAL ID：201902260110806013   整理番号：19A2097666

予測された温度増加によって誘発された世界的な健康負担とその地域的変動性【JST・京大機械翻訳】

Predicted temperature-increase-induced global health burden and its regional variability

著者 (61件)： Lee Jae Young (Graduate School of Public Health, Institute of Health and Environment, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea) ,  Kim Ho (Graduate School of Public Health, Institute of Health and Environment, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea) ,  Gasparrini Antonio (Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK) ,  Armstrong Ben (Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK) ,  Bell Michelle L. (School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA) ,  Sera Francesco (Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK) ,  Lavigne Eric (Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada) ,  Lavigne Eric (School of Epidemiology & Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada) ,  Abrutzky Rosana (Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani, Buenos Aires, Argentina) ,  Tong Shilu (School of Public Health, Institute of Environment and Human Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China) ,  Tong Shilu (Shanghai Children’s Medical Centre, Shanghi Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China) ,  Tong Shilu (School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia) ,  Coelho Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio (Institute of Advanced Studies of the University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil) ,  Coelho Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio (Climate Change Cluster, Faculty of Sciences, University of Technology-Sydney, Sydney, Australia) ,  Saldiva Paulo Hilario Nascimento (Institute of Advanced Studies of the University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil) ,  Correa Patricia Matus (Department of Public Health, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago, Chile) ,  Ortega Nicolas Valdes (Department of Public Health, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago, Chile) ,  Kan Haidong (School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education, Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment of the Ministry of Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China) ,  Kan Haidong (Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Fudan University, Shanghai, China) ,  Garcia Samuel Osorio (Hospital Vista Hermosa, Bogota, Colombia) ,  Kysely Jan (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic) ,  Kysely Jan (Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic) ,  Urban Ales (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic) ,  Orru Hans (Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia) ,  Orru Hans (Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea University, Umea, Sweden) ,  Indermitte Ene (Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia) ,  Jaakkola Jouni J.K. (Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland) ,  Ryti Niilo R.I. (Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland) ,  Pascal Mathilde (Sante Publique France, French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France) ,  Goodman Patrick G. (School of Physics, Dublin Institute of Technology, Dublin, Ireland) ,  Zeka Ariana (Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, London, UK) ,  Michelozzi Paola (Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy) ,  Scortichini Matteo (Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy) ,  Hashizume Masahiro (Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan) ,  Honda Yasushi (Faculty of Health and Sport Science, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan) ,  Hurtado Magali (Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico) ,  Cruz Julio (Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico) ,  Seposo Xerxes (Department of Environmental Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan) ,  Nunes Baltazar (Department of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saude Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisboa, Portugal) ,  Teixeira Joao Paulo (Department of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saude Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisboa, Portugal) ,  Teixeira Joao Paulo (EPIUnit - Instituto de Saude Publica, Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal) ,  Tobias Aurelio (Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research, Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Barcelona, Spain) ,  Iniguez Carmen (Department of Statistics and Computational Research, University of Valencia, Environmental Health Joint Research Unit FiSABIO-UV-UJI CIBERESP, Spain) ,  Forsberg Bertil (Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea University, Umea, Sweden) ,  Åstrom Christofer (Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea University, Umea, Sweden) ,  Vicedo-Cabrera Ana Maria (Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK) ,  Ragettli Martina S. (Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland) ,  Ragettli Martina S. (University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland) ,  Guo Yue-Liang Leon (Environmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University, NTU Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan) ,  Chen Bing-Yu (Environmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University, NTU Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan) ,  Zanobetti Antonella (Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA) ,  Schwartz Joel (Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA) ,  Dang Tran Ngoc (Faculty of Public Health, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam) ,  Dang Tran Ngoc (The Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, Viet Nam) ,  Do Van Dung (Faculty of Public Health, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam) ,  Mayvaneh Fetemeh (Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hakim Sabzevari University, Sabzevar 9617916487, Khorasan Razavi, Iran) ,  Overcenco Ala (Laboratory of Management in Science and Public Health, National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health of R. Moldova, Chisinau, Republic of Moldova) ,  Li Shanshan (Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia) ,  Li Shanshan (Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia) ,  Guo Yuming (Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia) ,  Guo Yuming (Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia)
資料名： Environment International  (Environment International)
巻： 131  ページ： Null  発行年： 2019年 
JST資料番号： A0646B  ISSN： 0160-4120  資料種別： 逐次刊行物 (A)
記事区分： 原著論文  発行国： イギリス (GBR)  言語： 英語 (EN)

抄録/ポイント： 温度の全体的な健康負荷の増加は,2099年までの4つの代表的な濃度経路シナリオの下で,世界中の28の国における459の場所に対して予測された。気候シナリオにかかわらず,全球CO2濃度の100ppm増加に対する温度上昇の量はほぼ一定であることを決定した。2010~2099年の全平均温度上昇はカナダ(1.16°C/100ppm)とフィンランド(1.14°C/100ppm)で最大であり,アイルランド(0.62°C/100ppm)とArgentina(0.63°C/100ppm)では最小であった。さらに,各1°Cの温度上昇に対して,過剰死亡率の量はベトナム(10.34%p/°C)とフィリピン(8.18%p/°C)のような熱帯諸国で大きく増加したが,アイルランド(-0.92%p/°C)とオーストラリア(-0.32%p/°C)では減少した。温度上昇と死亡率の地域的変動を理解するために,回帰ベースのモデリングを行った。予測された温度上昇は,温度上昇に対する位置と脆弱性における毎日の温度範囲と高い相関があることを観察し,肥満と高齢者集団の割合により影響を受けた。Copyright 2019 Elsevier B.V., Amsterdam. All rights reserved. Translated from English into Japanese by JST.【JST・京大機械翻訳】

シソーラス用語： 死亡率 ,  アイルランド ,  熱帯 ,  モデリング ,  フィンランド共和国 ,  老人 ,  オーストラリア連邦 ,  *昇温 ,  気候変動 ,  カナダ ,  フィリピン共和国 ,  ベトナム社会主義共和国 ,  気候変動シナリオ
準シソーラス用語： 脆弱性 ,  *健康 , 【Automatic Indexing@JST】

著者キーワード (5件)： 投影 ,  死亡率 ,  気候変動 ,  地域変動 ,  脆弱性

分類 (2件)： 環境問題  (SA01020V) ,  気候学,気候変動  (DC05140T)

タイトルに関連する用語 (6件)： 予測 ,  誘発 ,  世界 ,  負担 ,  地域 ,  変動性